May 20, 2009

Multiple Strategies for Dynamic Market Conditions

I employ many market strategies when investing. Two of my favorite strategies are buying into stocks that I believe are in a secular uptrend and another is just following market trends. However, as market conditions are dynamic, any strategy can change in an instant.

I like to buy stocks that are in a secular uptrend chart wise with supporting stories behind the move. One for instance, is in precious metals. I like the story behind the move in precious metals like silver and gold and the charts supports it. The weak dollar, as a result of unsustainable deficit spending by the federal government, is fueling future inflation worries. Since deflation, after the collapse of the shadow banking system is the worst of the two evils, the federal government is being forced to inflate. Because precious metals are a good hedge against future inflation, that is an area of the market that I would want a significant exposure.

Following and determining market trends is a strategy that I frequently utilize and emphasize in my decision making process, when deciding to buy a particular stock. I was able to outperform the market indices by a significant margin by staying mostly in cash or buying short exchange traded fund during the January to March of 2009 market sell off, because I was quick to notice that valuation in stocks and technical analysis were irrelevant and that the market was concerned about politics and politics only. During the market turmoil, good news by companies for the most part was ignored and share price went down nonetheless.

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